Unnoticed by many, the civil war in Mali has
raged for the last few years between nationalist Tauregs and Islamic militant
supporters against the democratic government. The rebels upped the ante since
2007 when they took over the north, helped by unrest and weapons from
surrounding nations.
At the recent crisis point (at time of
writing 16 January 2013) when the city of Konna was captured, the French launched
a very bold, aggressive and assertive ground war. Despite having international
diplomatic support (unlike some previous Western military ventures), this
action is independent of a UN decision or a NATO task force. Although there are
other African armies arriving to assist in the fighting, to all extents and
purposes the French are going it alone in Mali. This is a marked contrast to
previous military campaigns; hopefully a rapid unilateral action will be more
effective than past joint operations.
The Al Qaeda subsidiary group Al Qaeda in the
Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) has spread to North Africa and has benefited and
thrived from lawlessness and uprisings in the last several years in that
region, as have other similar groups such as the Movement for Oneness and Jihad in
West Africa (Mujao), itself an offshoot of another Al Qaeda group (al-Qaeda in
the Islamic Maghreb, or AQIM). It is well known, for example, that AQAP is supporting
or involved in piracy in the Indian Ocean and surrounding, and assists and backs
many Somali pirates. Such piracy costs the global economy between US $7 billion to US $12 billion annually. It is undoubtedly vital
for African and global security that AQAP be confronted and tackled. A spread of
AQAP to North Africa, on the shores of the Mediterranean and the EU, needs to
be avoided at all costs. This bold move to deploy the French Army to Mali sends
a clear message, and is a demonstration of the muscular stance of the Elysee
Palace against terrorism, and its determination to tackle terrorism and related
matters. It must be noted that this deployment is not purely humanitarian or
counter terrorism- but also protectionist. France has a long colonial history
in North Africa (Algeria, Morocco, etc) and indeed to this day has long
standing political, cultural and economic interests in the region (e.g.
Tunisia). Action in Mali, whilst helpful for the people of Mali, also greats helps
to protect French interests and concerns along the North African coast.
Despite the influx of French troops, the
future arrival of African soldiers, and the military infrastructure and
supplies sent into Mali to support these armed operations, what is set out to
be a swift armed response to a local crisis could easily see the French Army
and its African allies locked into a vicious civil war for a long time, as
battlegrounds and loyalties shift. This would have negative long term outcomes
for all participants- and above all innocent civilians. Is France prepared for
a long endgame in Mali, and to remain behind after the fighting is done to
provide rebuilding, education and similar? Indeed, from an initial deployment
of 550 troops, now the numbers of French soldiers present is increasing to
2,500- and more international help, such as RAF transport planes, is en route. It
is to be hoped that the Elysee Palace will learn from Iraq & Afghanistan,
and be prepared for the long haul in this military operation, and to support an
armed response with diplomatic and humanitarian endeavours. Armed force alone
will not help the situation in Mali; over time, economic boosts, improving
infrastructure, more resources, education, restructuring, rebuilding and
similar will all have vital roles to play in rebuilding Mali after this
conflict is over. The French government has to ask itself whether it is
prepared to go that distance to get an effective and lasting remedy to the
strife in Mali.
Although such a response to an undoubted
humanitarian crisis and such a bold stance against AQAP and affiliates is only
to be commended, the motivations of the French leadership are unlikely to be
wholly altruistic. The Hollande
presidency has some under a lot of criticism recently, what with tax hikes on
businesses and the super-rich, French economic migration to Belgium and
neighbouring countries (including iconic Frenchman GĂ©rard Depardieu becoming a
Russian citizen in protest), and the furore over gay marriage only this week.
History shows that nothing stirs up public support than armed conflict abroad.
Could Hollande be deploying troops to deflect public opinion and gossip away from his domestic troubles?
James W Monroe
Law Student
Law Student
BPP University College
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